Apprentley this is how the 100,000 drivers shortage figure was arrived at by the Haulage association….this is just nonsence…
“It’s been claimed in recent days by Labour leader Keir Starmer, Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves, and others, that there is a shortage of 100,000 HGV drivers in the UK.
As reported by BBC Radio 4’s More or Less, that number was calculated by the trade body the Road Haulage Association (RHA), by adding up:
- How many fewer people passed their HGV licence test in 2020/21 compared to 2019/20 (25,000)
How many fewer EU national HGV drivers there are now than in 2019 (this depends on which precise periods you compare between, but is around 15,000-19,000)
What the RHA claims was an existing shortage of 60,000 drivers from 2019
However, the BBC said that the RHA didn’t provide much detail as to how that initial 60,000 shortage was calculated, only mentioning the use of industry vacancy data and lorry numbers.
When Full Fact asked the RHA directly about the figure, it wasn't able to explain why it had estimated the historic shortage at that level. It told Full Fact it estimated this historic level at 50,000 drivers in 2015, but couldn’t explain the figure further.”